The Fed’s communication problem

The Fed’s communication problem

The US Federal Reserve has a communications problem. It is no longer seen as a credible manager of monetary policy. And it is easy to see why. The US economic data are slowing rapidly. The housing market is in free fall. Core inflation has peaked and is set to plunge....
Three scenarios for 2023

Three scenarios for 2023

Three plausible scenarios – and what that means for your assets in 2023. The US Federal Reserve hiked by another 0.75% at its November meeting. There has been a remarkable amount of tightening in a short period of time. Equities and rates markets are now pricing...
There is no inflation problem

There is no inflation problem

The RBA surprised markets by hiking 0.25% in October. The Bank remains hawkish. More rate hikes are set to follow over the rest of 2022. But the RBA’s move to slower hikes makes it the first central bank to acknowledge that a recession is both unnecessary and very...